Cognitive Aristocracy Tracker
How concentrated is access to cognitive infrastructure — and is it diverging? This tracker measures the distribution of cognitive capital across the world's people and projects concentration under alternative futures.
CII · Gini
0.231
cognitive inequality
Theil index
0.094
entropy measure
Top 10% ÷ Bottom 50%
2.6×
separation ratio
Top 1% ÷ Bottom 50%
2.8×
elite separation
Lorenz curve of cognitive capital
Cumulative share of cognitive infrastructure vs cumulative share of people. The bowed gap from the diagonal is the inequality.
Concentration under scenarios · 2040
Projected inequality of the CC distribution across people, by scenario.
| Scenario | Gini 2040 | Top10÷Bot50 |
|---|---|---|
| Democratization | 0.118 | 1.6× |
| Baseline | 0.194 | 2.2× |
| Elite Divergence | 0.252 | 2.8× |
| AGI Emergence | 0.253 | 2.8× |
Today: Gini 0.231 · 2.6×
The five cognitive classes
A framework (from the underlying research) for how cognitive stratification could crystallize. These are conceptual strata, not measured population counts.
<0.01%
Class I · Intelligence Owners
Own or control frontier intelligence infrastructure; create intelligence and set its terms.
1–5%
Class II · Intelligence Amplified
Continuous access to advanced AI, persistent memory, and autonomous agents integrated into daily work.
40–60%
Class III · Intelligence Consumers
Use mainstream AI tools; benefit broadly but with limited customization or ownership.
large
Class IV · Intelligence Dependents
Heavy reliance on AI with eroding independent capability and cognitive resilience.
variable
Class V · Intelligence Excluded
Minimal access to advanced systems; compounding economic and educational disadvantage.
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The aristocracy framing describes a risk the platform exists to monitor and help avert — not an endorsement or a prediction. Projections are scenarios.