United Arab Emirates
MaintainingMiddle East & N. AfricaHigh income
Power #20 / 48Per-capita #22
Cognitive Power
35.6
of 100 · #20
CPI
35.6
CC
53.6
CDI
0.541
AIR
43.1
AIX
44.1
CRI
44.0
CM
45.6
CV
3.5%
Primary · absolute lens
Cognitive Power
35.6 · #20/48
Total national capacity — AI capital, compute, models & robotics. Strongest in ai capital, economic mass, frontier models.
Per-capita lens
Cognitive Coefficient
53.6 · #22/48
How deep infrastructure runs per person — rewards intensity, like GDP-per-capita or the HDI.
CC projection to 2040 — Baseline
All 8 scenarios →Monte-Carlo band (P10–P90) around the median path. Dashed = illustrative historical reconstruction.
Median (P50)P10–P90 bandReconstruction
Pillar profile
Insight engine
United Arab Emirates ranks #22 of 48 on the Cognitive Coefficient (53.6/100), with a trajectory classified as Maintaining relative to the frontier. Its strongest pillars are ai access, digital literacy; the binding constraints are compute, ai adoption.
Risks
- Low cognitive resilience: heavy reliance on externally-controlled frontier infrastructure.
Opportunities
- Largest headroom in Compute (31.0/100) — targeted investment compounds fastest here.
- Largest headroom in AI Adoption (34.8/100) — targeted investment compounds fastest here.
Recommended actions
- Prioritise the weakest pillar (Compute) to lift the geometric-mean development index (CDI).
- Convert access into utilization: workforce AI-skilling and agentic-workflow adoption.
- Broaden the base (education + data governance) to raise resilience and reduce concentration risk.
▲
These are model outputs and scenarios, not forecasts of actual outcomes. This platform measures access to, utilization of, and leverage from cognitive infrastructure — not intelligence. No causality or certainty is claimed.