Indonesia
Falling behindAsia-PacificLower-middle income
Power #32 / 48Per-capita #44
Cognitive Power
28.4
of 100 · #32
CPI
28.4
CC
23.7
CDI
0.232
AIR
20.0
AIX
12.7
CRI
20.3
CM
20.9
CV
2.8%
Primary · absolute lens
Cognitive Power
28.4 · #32/48
Total national capacity — AI capital, compute, models & robotics. Strongest in economic mass, researchers (total), research output (total).
Per-capita lens
Cognitive Coefficient
23.7 · #44/48
How deep infrastructure runs per person — rewards intensity, like GDP-per-capita or the HDI.
CC projection to 2040 — Baseline
All 8 scenarios →Monte-Carlo band (P10–P90) around the median path. Dashed = illustrative historical reconstruction.
Median (P50)P10–P90 bandReconstruction
Pillar profile
Insight engine
Indonesia ranks #44 of 48 on the Cognitive Coefficient (23.7/100), with a trajectory classified as Falling behind relative to the frontier. Its strongest pillars are ai access, education; the binding constraints are ai adoption, knowledge infrastructure.
Risks
- Low cognitive resilience: heavy reliance on externally-controlled frontier infrastructure.
- Relative position is eroding — growth pace trails the frontier, widening the gap.
Opportunities
- Largest headroom in AI Adoption (11.4/100) — targeted investment compounds fastest here.
- Largest headroom in Knowledge Infrastructure (17.7/100) — targeted investment compounds fastest here.
Recommended actions
- Prioritise the weakest pillar (AI Adoption) to lift the geometric-mean development index (CDI).
- Convert access into utilization: workforce AI-skilling and agentic-workflow adoption.
- Broaden the base (education + data governance) to raise resilience and reduce concentration risk.
▲
These are model outputs and scenarios, not forecasts of actual outcomes. This platform measures access to, utilization of, and leverage from cognitive infrastructure — not intelligence. No causality or certainty is claimed.
Pillars
AI Access36.3
AI Adoption11.4
Compute21.3
Data23.6
Education30.0
Digital Literacy30.0
Innovation19.3
Knowledge Infrastructure17.7
Nearest peers
- Egypt21.9
- Philippines21.1
- Colombia26.4
- South Africa26.9
- Mexico30.1