Norway
Falling behindEuropeHigh income
Power #35 / 48Per-capita #17
Cognitive Power
26.3
of 100 · #35
CPI
26.3
CC
59.9
CDI
0.601
AIR
51.8
AIX
43.5
CRI
49.6
CM
43.2
CV
3.2%
Primary · absolute lens
Cognitive Power
26.3 · #35/48
Total national capacity — AI capital, compute, models & robotics. Strongest in economic mass, semiconductor capability, researchers (total).
Per-capita lens
Cognitive Coefficient
59.9 · #17/48
How deep infrastructure runs per person — rewards intensity, like GDP-per-capita or the HDI.
CC projection to 2040 — Baseline
All 8 scenarios →Monte-Carlo band (P10–P90) around the median path. Dashed = illustrative historical reconstruction.
Median (P50)P10–P90 bandReconstruction
Pillar profile
Insight engine
Norway ranks #17 of 48 on the Cognitive Coefficient (59.9/100), with a trajectory classified as Falling behind relative to the frontier. Its strongest pillars are data, digital literacy; the binding constraints are compute, ai adoption.
Risks
- Relative position is eroding — growth pace trails the frontier, widening the gap.
Opportunities
- Largest headroom in Compute (29.9/100) — targeted investment compounds fastest here.
- Largest headroom in AI Adoption (34.6/100) — targeted investment compounds fastest here.
Recommended actions
- Prioritise the weakest pillar (Compute) to lift the geometric-mean development index (CDI).
- Convert access into utilization: workforce AI-skilling and agentic-workflow adoption.
- Broaden the base (education + data governance) to raise resilience and reduce concentration risk.
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These are model outputs and scenarios, not forecasts of actual outcomes. This platform measures access to, utilization of, and leverage from cognitive infrastructure — not intelligence. No causality or certainty is claimed.