United States
FrontierNorth AmericaHigh income
Power #1 / 48Per-capita #1
Cognitive Power
95.0
of 100 · #1
CPI
95.0
CC
85.3
CDI
0.855
AIR
95.5
AIX
100.0
CRI
89.2
CM
80.4
CV
4.0%
Primary · absolute lens
Cognitive Power
95.0 · #1/48
Total national capacity — AI capital, compute, models & robotics. Strongest in ai capital, compute capacity, frontier models.
Per-capita lens
Cognitive Coefficient
85.3 · #1/48
How deep infrastructure runs per person — rewards intensity, like GDP-per-capita or the HDI.
CC projection to 2040 — Baseline
All 8 scenarios →Monte-Carlo band (P10–P90) around the median path. Dashed = illustrative historical reconstruction.
Median (P50)P10–P90 bandReconstruction
Pillar profile
Insight engine
United States ranks #1 of 48 on the Cognitive Coefficient (85.3/100), with a trajectory classified as Frontier relative to the frontier. Its strongest pillars are compute, knowledge infrastructure; the binding constraints are education, data.
Risks
- Few acute risks at present; principal exposure is complacency as the frontier keeps moving.
Opportunities
- Largest headroom in Education (63.0/100) — targeted investment compounds fastest here.
- Largest headroom in Data (82.3/100) — targeted investment compounds fastest here.
- High momentum: current investment and pipeline favour accelerating returns if sustained.
Recommended actions
- Prioritise the weakest pillar (Education) to lift the geometric-mean development index (CDI).
- Broaden the base (education + data governance) to raise resilience and reduce concentration risk.
▲
These are model outputs and scenarios, not forecasts of actual outcomes. This platform measures access to, utilization of, and leverage from cognitive infrastructure — not intelligence. No causality or certainty is claimed.
Pillars
AI Access87.3
AI Adoption85.0
Compute98.2
Data82.3
Education63.0
Digital Literacy91.0
Innovation82.9
Knowledge Infrastructure92.5
Nearest peers
- South Korea72.8
- Singapore71.9
- Germany68.5
- United Kingdom67.6
- Switzerland66.4